Lord Howell: Out of the Energy Labyrinth
London, UK - 3 July 2007, 09:35 GMT - We are grateful to The Lord
Howell of Guildford, based at The Palace of Westminster, London, for "Out
of the Energy Labyrinth;" John Elkington based in London, UK, and
presently visiting Sao Paulo, Brazil, for "Diamonds,
Clubs, Spades and Hearts"; Dr Thierry Malleret based in Geneva,
Switzerland, for "The Lesson of Humility in
dealing with Black Swans"; Andrew Leung based in London, UK,
and frequent visitor to China, for "The China
Black Swans"; and Prof Jean-Pierre Lehmann based in Ouchy and
IMD Lausanne, Switzerland, for "Integrating
The Black Swan in Corporate Global Trends Analysis"; in response
to the ATCA presentation, "Low Probability
High Impact and Black Swan Events -- Considerations for Future Scenarios
-- The Opportunity and Risk of Asymmetric Globalisation."
Dear ATCA Colleagues
[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are
not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral.
ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and
threats.]
The Right Honourable Lord (David) Howell of Guildford, President of the
British Institute of Energy Economics, is a former Secretary of State
for Energy and for Transport in the UK Government and an economist and
journalist. Lord Howell is Deputy Leader of the Opposition in the House
of Lords and Conservative Spokesman on Foreign Affairs. He also Chairs
the Windsor Energy Group. Until 2002 he was Chairman of the UK-Japan 21st
Century Group, (the high level bilateral forum between leading UK and
Japanese politicians, industrialists and academics), which was first set
up by Margaret Thatcher and Yasuhiro Nakasone in 1984. In addition he
writes a fortnightly column for The JAPAN TIMES in Tokyo, and has done
so since 1985. He also writes regularly for the International Herald Tribune.
David Howell was the Chairman of the House of Commons Select Committee
on Foreign Affairs, 1987-97. He was Chairman of the House of Lords European
Sub-Committee on Common Foreign and Security Policy from 1999-2000. In
2001 he was awarded the Grand Cordon of the Order of the Sacred Treasure
(Japan). His latest book, 'Out of the Energy Labyrinth' has been described
as 'a serious and thoughtful attempt to grapple with the complexities
of the energy challenge and foreign policy', by James R Schlesinger, and
as 'a terrific book, not least because of its topicality' by Sir Simon
Jenkins. He writes:
Dear DK and Colleagues
Re: Out of the Energy Labyrinth
I read your "Low
Probability High Impact and Black Swan events" paper delivered
as a keynote in Geneva with the greatest possible interest. It is full
of insights. Now, inspired by that, please accept the following comments
in regard to "Out of the Energy Labyrinth," which as a multi-dimensional
matrix of non-linear dynamics may precipitate the arrival of several low
probability high impact and black swan events, in the coming few decades.
[CONTINUES]
[ATCA Membership]
The approach outlined is one of the first to bring together the currently
deteriorating international outlook, the energy scene and the environmental
challenges. Anyone who is looking for a practical route through today's
bewildering energy security and climate security debates, and on towards
a safer and more secure energy pattern in a less dangerous and better
conserved planet, needs to think in terms of getting "Out of the
Energy Labyrinth."
Kindest regards
David Howell
[ENDS]
We look forward to your further thoughts, observations and views. Thank
you.
Best wishes
For and on behalf of DK Matai, Chairman, Asymmetric Threats Contingency
Alliance (ATCA)
ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency
Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001
to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic
dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global
economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses
asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate
chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics
and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies
-- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource
shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as
well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is
by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from
over 100 countries: including several from the House of Lords,
House of Commons, EU Parliament, US Congress & Senate, G10's
Senior Government officials and over 1,500 CEOs from financial
institutions, scientific corporates and voluntary organisations
as well as over 750 Professors from academic centres of excellence
worldwide.
The views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily
representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. Please
do not forward or use the material circulated without permission
and full attribution.
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