Red Warning: Spain at the Mercy of Bond Markets? Systemic Risk

London, UK - 30th May 2012, 10:55 GMT

Dear ATCA Open & Philanthropia Friends

[Please note that the views presented by individual contributors are not necessarily representative of the views of ATCA, which is neutral. ATCA conducts collective Socratic dialogue on global opportunities and threats.]

Is the bailout of Spain -- like Greece, Ireland and Portugal -- now imminent as 10-year bond yields remain above 6.5% consistently? Spain is the 4th largest economy in the Eurozone facing 1-in-2 youth unemployment and 1-in-3 general unemployment. What are the consequences of a massive international bailout of Spain for the safety and stability of the European single currency and global markets? Contagion: will the crisis-of-confidence spread swiftly to Italy and then France? If France gets enveloped in a resultant flight of capital, similar to the PIIGS, how will the Franco-German alliance at the heart of European integration maintain confidence in the single currency? Is there a threat to the European Union given that exiting the single currency is not permitted but resignation from the EU may be a way out? Is there a cascading systemic risk to the global banking system and capital markets as Spain goes down? How could this be mitigated? Latest: ECB rejects €19bn direct injection of unsold new Spanish sovereign bonds into Bankia as a violation of monetary union rules. Spanish equity market decline is -41% year-on-year. Is this a massive crash (>40% decline) masquerading as a bear market (>20% decline)? What are your thoughts, observations and views? Please join the Socratic dialogue on ATCA 5000 at https://www.yammer.com/atca. We look forward to hearing from you!



The Spanish matador gored in the throat, Madrid

[STOPS]

What are your thoughts, observations and views? We are hosting an Expert roundtable on this issue at ATCA 24/7 on Yammer.

[ENDS]

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ATCA: The Asymmetric Threats Contingency Alliance is a philanthropic expert initiative founded in 2001 to resolve complex global challenges through collective Socratic dialogue and joint executive action to build a wisdom based global economy. Adhering to the doctrine of non-violence, ATCA addresses asymmetric threats and social opportunities arising from climate chaos and the environment; radical poverty and microfinance; geo-politics and energy; organised crime & extremism; advanced technologies -- bio, info, nano, robo & AI; demographic skews and resource shortages; pandemics; financial systems and systemic risk; as well as transhumanism and ethics. Present membership of ATCA is by invitation only and has over 5,000 distinguished members from over 120 countries: including 1,000 Parliamentarians; 1,500 Chairmen and CEOs of corporations; 1,000 Heads of NGOs; 750 Directors at Academic Centres of Excellence; 500 Inventors and Original thinkers; as well as 250 Editors-in-Chief of major media.

The Philanthropia, founded in 2005, brings together over 1,000 leading individual and private philanthropists, family offices, foundations, private banks, non-governmental organisations and specialist advisors to address complex global challenges such as countering climate chaos, reducing radical poverty and developing global leadership for the younger generation through the appliance of science and technology, leveraging acumen and finance, as well as encouraging collaboration with a strong commitment to ethics. Philanthropia emphasises multi-faith spiritual values: introspection, healthy living and ecology. Philanthropia Targets: Countering climate chaos and carbon neutrality; Eliminating radical poverty -- through micro-credit schemes, empowerment of women and more responsible capitalism; Leadership for the Younger Generation; and Corporate and social responsibility.



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